Herding

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Herding

Herding in crypto market

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  • Herding in crypto market

General Overview

Description

This presentation provides an overview of herding behavior in financial markets, with a particular focus on cryptocurrencies. Herding occurs when investors imitate the actions of others rather than relying on their own information, leading to excessive co-movement of asset prices. The discussion contrasts rational market benchmarks, such as the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) and the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), with behavioral deviations caused by herding. The evolution of herding measurement is reviewed, from the Cross-Sectional Standard Deviation (CSSD) of Christie and Huang (1995) to the Cross-Sectional Absolute Deviation (CSAD) approach of Chang et al. (2000). Particular emphasis is placed on CSAD as a robust measure of return dispersion under extreme market conditions. Empirical applications are conducted using CRIX, CoinGecko, and Kaggle cryptocurrency datasets. Log returns are analyzed together with CSSD and CSAD dynamics to identify periods of investor convergence. Regression-based herding tests reveal mixed evidence across datasets. Significant herding effects are detected in the CRIX and Kaggle samples, whereas recent CoinGecko data do not provide statistically significant evidence of herding. The results suggest that longer historical samples exhibit stronger convergence among investors, while recent cryptocurrency markets appear more heterogeneous. The study highlights the importance of behavioral effects in digital asset markets and points toward future research on sentiment-driven herding and robust Huber-loss-based measures.

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Meet the instructors !

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About the Instructor

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instructor
About the Instructor

I am interested in risk analytics, statistics and data science.

instructor
About the Instructor

Wolfgang Karl HÄRDLE attained his Dr. rer. nat. in Mathematics at Universität Heidelberg in 1982 and in 1988 his habilitation at Universität Bonn.  He is Ladislaus von Bortkiewicz Professor of Statistics at Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin and the director of the Sino German Graduate School (洪堡大学 + 厦门大学) IRTG1792 on “High dimensional non stationary time series analysis”.  He directs  IDA Institute for Digital Assets,  

  University of Economic Studies, Bucharest, RO. His research focuses on data analytics, dimension reduction and quantitative finance.  He has published over 30 books and more than 300 papers in top statistical, econometrics and finance journals. He is highly ranked and cited on Google Scholar, REPEC and SSRN. He has professional experience in financial engineering, S.M.A.R.T. (Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Relevant, Timely) data analytics, machine learning and cryptocurrency markets. He has created the www.quantlet.com platform, a cryptocurrency index, CRIX www.royalton-crix.com  He is 玉山学者 (Yushan Scholar), web page hu.berlin/wkh