Online Monitoring via Streaming Curves

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Online Monitoring via Streaming Curves

This courselet introduces real-time change detection for streaming curve data (e.g., intraday return curves, yield curves, volatility smiles). You’ll learn a practical monitoring workflow that is robust to dependence and volatility, and produces actionable alert rules for regime shifts.

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Courselet Content

1 components

Requirements

  • Comfort with basic time-series ideas (dependence, structural change, rolling/online analysis) Working knowledge of statistics and linear algebra at an applied level Ability to code in R or Python (loops, matrices, basic data cleaning)

General Overview

Description

 

  • What “streaming curves” look like in quant workflows, and why standard pointwise monitoring often fails
  • A train-then-monitor setup: build a stable baseline from historical curves, then monitor new curves as they arrive
  • Dimension reduction for curves (turn curves into a small set of signals you can track in real time)
  • A monitoring statistic designed to be low-tuning (avoids heavy bandwidth/parameter choices common in long-run variance methods)
  • How to set thresholds and alert boundaries using precomputed/simulated critical values
  • A market-style case study showing how the method flags a major regime transition, plus guidance on how to adapt it to your own data

 

 

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